Wednesday, November 17, 2010

The big disconnect: D.C. elites think Obama will be reelected, but the public doubts it - Mark Penn - POLITICO.com

The big disconnect: D.C. elites think Obama will be reelected, but the public doubts it - Mark Penn - POLITICO.com

1 comment:

  1. Many of the elites think so because they see an analogy with 1994 and how Clinton got reelected two years later.

    But 2010 isn't the same, for a whole host of reasons

    - Clinton failed to get HillaryCare through, so didn't have anything there to defend. Obama is saddled with a hugely unpopular bill he forced through
    - Gingrich overreached in the House and made himself look bad, Boehner won't do that
    - The GOP controlled both the Senate and the House after 1994, so Clinton could complain about a "do nothing Congress." Now, the Dems still control the Senate, so the public will continue to hold them responsible
    - Obama is an ideologue in a way Clinton wasn't.
    - The GOP foolishly nominated Bob Dole in 1996, a candidate destined to lose. Now that we've gotten John McCain out of the way we won't make that mistake again... I hope.

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