Wednesday, November 17, 2010

The big disconnect: D.C. elites think Obama will be reelected, but the public doubts it - Mark Penn - POLITICO.com

The big disconnect: D.C. elites think Obama will be reelected, but the public doubts it - Mark Penn - POLITICO.com

1 comment:

Tom the Redhunter said...

Many of the elites think so because they see an analogy with 1994 and how Clinton got reelected two years later.

But 2010 isn't the same, for a whole host of reasons

- Clinton failed to get HillaryCare through, so didn't have anything there to defend. Obama is saddled with a hugely unpopular bill he forced through
- Gingrich overreached in the House and made himself look bad, Boehner won't do that
- The GOP controlled both the Senate and the House after 1994, so Clinton could complain about a "do nothing Congress." Now, the Dems still control the Senate, so the public will continue to hold them responsible
- Obama is an ideologue in a way Clinton wasn't.
- The GOP foolishly nominated Bob Dole in 1996, a candidate destined to lose. Now that we've gotten John McCain out of the way we won't make that mistake again... I hope.

 
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