USS Neverdock: The big disconnect: D.C. elites think Obama will be reelected, but the public doubts it - Mark Penn

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Tom the Redhunter said...: Many of the elites think so because they see an analogy with 1994 and how Clinton got reelected two years later.

But 2010 isn't the same, for a whole host of reasons

- Clinton failed to get HillaryCare through, so didn't have anything there to defend. Obama is saddled with a hugely unpopular bill he forced through
- Gingrich overreached in the House and made himself look bad, Boehner won't do that
- The GOP controlled both the Senate and the House after 1994, so Clinton could complain about a "do nothing Congress." Now, the Dems still control the Senate, so the public will continue to hold them responsible
- Obama is an ideologue in a way Clinton wasn't.
- The GOP foolishly nominated Bob Dole in 1996, a candidate destined to lose. Now that we've gotten John McCain out of the way we won't make that mistake again... I hope.; 2:07 AM

USS Neverdock